Economic impact in NI

Economists from the Economic Policy Centre are advising local and national government as well as industry about the projected impact of Covid-19 on the economy.


Ulster’s Economic Policy Centre continues to advise the government and industry about the economic consequences of Covid-19 on the Northern Ireland economy.

Economic consequences in Northern
Ireland

In a recent report Ulster's Economic Policy Centre predicts economic output could fall by as much as 9.6% in 2020 and estimates that approximately 235k workers are either temporarily laid-off or have their salaries funded through the Government’s Job Retention Scheme (i.e. furloughed).

The report explores an array of forces on the NI economy including; long term effects of increased borrowing, changing patterns of public expenditure, the challenging decisions ahead, balancing public health vs the economy and maps out what a lockdown exit strategy might look like.

Read the full report now

Labour market implications

As the UK and NI Governments take action to constrain the number of COVID-19 transmissions, social distancing measures are the first line of defence.

This has involved the majority of non-essential businesses closing.

The impact of closures will be far from uniform, as some sectors will be hit much harder than others, and given the worker characteristics differ significantly between sectors, certain groups of people will bear a disproportionate impact of the crisis.

Read the full report now

Reaching for Recovery

In the wake of the pandemic, Northern Ireland faces a significant recession; however, with staff returning from furlough and economic activity returning across a range of indicators, re-ignition of the economy is underway.

Richard Johnson from UUBS Economic Policy caught up with the IoD NI to explore NI's road to recovery.

Related experts

Gareth Hetherington

Director of the Ulster University Economic Policy Centre

Ulster University Economic Policy Centre

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Areas of expertise Economic policy, policy evaluation, economic impact assessments.

   Find out more about Gareth Hetherington

Dr Esmond Birnie

Senior Economist (Economic Research)

Department of Acc, Finance & Economics

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Areas of expertise Economic policy, competitiveness, economic growth and productivity.

   Find out more about Dr Esmond Birnie

Dr Eoin Magennis

Senior Economist (Economic Research)

Ulster University Economic Policy Centre

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Areas of expertise Economic Policy, Regional Policy, History of Economic Development.


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